RaceEasy Model Finds Multiple Market-vs-Score Gaps Across a Packed Tuesday Card

Tuesday's racing spans Roscommon, Worcester, Musselburgh, Yarmouth, Kempton and Newcastle, and RaceEasy's scoring data throws up some sharp divergences between model rankings and market prices. Here are the races where the numbers matter most.

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**Roscommon 13:30 — Maiden (Soft)**

RaceEasy's Win Pick is Karrygrant (totalScore 47, scoreRank 1), trained by J.P. Murtagh and ridden by Ben Coen. The model ranks Karrygrant top of the field on score, yet the market has it at rank 3 — a gap of two places that the scoring data flags directly. The headgear factor for Karrygrant comes in at 9/10 for first-time equipment. State of Wyoming, the market favourite (marketRankInRace 1), sits only third on RaceEasy's model (scoreRank 3), with a headgear factor of 7/10 — notably lower than both Karrygrant and the Each-Way pick, Resurgence. Resurgence (totalScore 45, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 2) holds the highest headgear factor of the three at 10/10, and its score rank and market rank align. The model ranks it 2nd on score despite a market rank of 2 — no gap there — but with State of Wyoming sitting three places lower on score than its market position implies, this is a race where RaceEasy's data diverges meaningfully from the betting.

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**Roscommon 14:00 — Handicap, 16 runners (Soft)**

The 14:00 handicap at Roscommon is one of the most data-rich races on the card. RaceEasy's Win Pick is Save The Sixes (totalScore 51, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 3), carrying the CD badge as a course-and-distance winner and posting a distance strike rate of 10/10. The model ranks it first on score despite a market rank of 3 — a gap of two places. Selective Power (totalScore 51, scoreRank 2) sits even further adrift at marketRankInRace 7, also with a 10/10 distance strike rate. The Each-Way pick, Minaun View (totalScore 49, scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 5), also carries a 10/10 distance strike rate. In a 16-runner soft-ground handicap where the top three scorers all show maximum distance strike rates, the model's separation from the market across the board is the defining feature of this race on RaceEasy's data.

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**Roscommon 15:00 — Handicap, 14 runners (Soft)**

RaceEasy's Win Pick here is Big Bill (totalScore 48, scoreRank 4, marketRankInRace 2) — the model ranks it 4th on score despite a market rank of 2. The top two scorers on RaceEasy's model are actually Cisterna (totalScore 51, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 5) and Brains (totalScore 50, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 4), both carrying the CD badge and posting distance strike rates of 10/10 — Cisterna is RaceEasy's Each-Way pick. The Longshot pick, La Tulipe Noire (totalScore 48, scoreRank 3), also holds the CD badge and a 10/10 distance strike rate, yet sits at marketRankInRace 11 — a score-vs-market gap of eight places, the widest on the card. This is a race where RaceEasy's model finds CD badge holders scattered through the bottom half of the market.

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**Kempton 16:45 — Class 4 Handicap, AW (Standard/Slow)**

The highest-scoring individual runner of the afternoon card is Tredegar Square (totalScore 60, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 1) at Kempton, trained by James Fanshawe and ridden by Oisin Murphy. The model and market align at the top, with RaceEasy's score underpinned by the CD badge, a course specialist flag, and a course specialist bonus of 4/10 — confirming prior wins at course and distance. The Each-Way pick, Huwa Baree (totalScore 54, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 3), has a class factor of 10/10 and is proven at this level. With a 13-point score gap between the top two and the rest of the field, this is among the cleaner model signals on the day.

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**Kempton 19:45 — Class 6, AW (Standard/Slow)**

The highest totalScore on the entire evening card belongs to Niffler (totalScore 62, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 1), trained by Sir Mark Prescott and ridden by Luke Morris. RaceEasy's model rates it top of the field by a clear margin — the next runner, Tazaman, scores 57 — with first-time headgear contributing a headgear factor of 10/10, and a proven record at this class level. The Each-Way pick, Tazaman (totalScore 57, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 2), scores a going suitability of 10/10. The Longshot, Sneaky Blinder (totalScore 50, scoreRank 5, marketRankInRace 8), carries a score-vs-market gap of three places, also posting a going suitability of 10/10. RaceEasy's model finds Niffler and the market in agreement at the top, while flagging Sneaky Blinder as a data-backed longshot the market has underweighted.