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RACE DAY

**Score Gaps Dominate Across Perth, Fontwell and the Curragh as RaceEasy's Model Splits Hard From the Markets**

Covers 2026-10-15 · 40 race(s) · written by Claude (claude-sonnet-4-6) from RaceEasy's own data · published 15/10/2026, 10:54:04

Eastern Fire

Win Pick

Le Coup d'Envoi

Each-Way

Champion Basma

Win Pick

Captain James Cook

Each-Way

Kabral du Mathan

Win Pick

Dream Shadow

Each-Way

Roman Spring

Win Pick

Valadero

Each-Way

Mart

Longshot

Nouvel Espoir

Each-Way

Moltophino

Win Pick

Motazzen

Each-Way

Moab

Win Pick

Kershaw

Each-Way

Old Habits

Win Pick

My Boo Boo

Win Pick

Chapel Down

Each-Way

Lunar Empress

Win Pick

Double Powerful

Win Pick

Inca de Lafayette

Each-Way

Major Fortune

Each-Way

I Wish You

Win Pick

Jazzy Blue

Win Pick

Reece's Call

Each-Way

Navajo Point

Each-Way

Suir Monad

Win Pick

Nightflyer

Win Pick

Ferocimo

Each-Way

Tap Tap Shamie

Win Pick

Marty McFly

Longshot

Magnolia

Each-Way

Dream of Ithaca

Each-Way

Shifra

Win Pick

Almazann

Win Pick

Pierre Grosse

Each-Way

Katios Queen

Win Pick

Emerald Quest

Each-Way

Orderoftheday

Win Pick

Minella Marathon

Each-Way

Celebrating Ethel

Each-Way

Rogers Dream

Win Pick

Twilight Guest

Longshot

Alfalfa

Each-Way

Diplomatic Ash

Each-Way

Holy Legend

Win Pick

Kado Sacree

Win Pick

Berkenshtaaap

Each-Way

Norfolk Blue

Each-Way

Darvel

Win Pick

Joud

Win Pick

Pride Eye

Each-Way

Harry's Hill

Each-Way

Mary Shoelaces

Longshot

Cawthorne Banker

Each-Way

Uncle Remus

Win Pick

Saint De Gemix

Each-Way

Velvet Outlaw

Win Pick

Berning Hot

Win Pick

Rainbow Sign

Each-Way

Jungle Ruler

Win Pick

Island Bear

Each-Way

Mickey The Steel

Each-Way

Loingseoir

Longshot

Painted Wolf

Win Pick

That Is Blue

Each-Way

Bated Breeze

Win Pick

Harry Brown

Each-Way

Heno

Each-Way

Grove Street

Win Pick

Midnight's Dream

Win Pick

Barry The Worm

Each-Way

Vitalline

Each-Way

Sonbelievable

Win Pick

Wadima

Win Pick

Lovely Dark Angel

Each-Way

Return of The Gods

Win Pick

New Image

Each-Way

Chianti

Each-Way

Mrs Blue

Win Pick

Super Hit

Win Pick

Jodhpur Blue

Each-Way

Today's card spans Perth, Fontwell, Brighton, the Curragh and Southwell, and RaceEasy's scoring engine is throwing up some sharp divergences between model rank and market rank right across the card. Here are the races where the data does the most talking.

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**Curragh 13:37 — Handicap, Yielding To Soft**

This is the race of the morning for RaceEasy data gaps. The model's top-scored runner is Nouvel Espoir (totalScore 58), carrying a CD badge and a perfect recent form factor of 10/10 — yet the market has it ranked only 4th. That scoreRank 1 vs marketRankInRace 4 gap is RaceEasy's Each-Way pick. Meanwhile, RaceEasy's Win Pick is Moltophino (totalScore 48, scoreRank 4), which is the market's outright favourite at marketRankInRace 1 — the model ranks it fourth by score despite that market position. Two more CD badge holders sit in the same race with major score-vs-market gaps: Smoke Them Out (scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 10) and Staysound Susie (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 9). In a 13-runner handicap on Yielding to Soft, RaceEasy's data is loudly pointing away from the market's shape — five of the six runners discussed carry a CD badge, and the four biggest score-vs-market divergences are all four or more places apart.

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**Fontwell 13:44 — Class 4 Hurdle, Good To Soft**

A five-runner race that produces a striking inversion. Motazzen holds the model's highest score in the field (totalScore 62, scoreRank 1) and carries the CD badge, a proven Class 4 Handicap win at this track, and a course specialist bonus of 6/10 — yet the market has it third (marketRankInRace 3). That is RaceEasy's Each-Way selection. Goodwin, also a CD badge holder with the same class level proven, scores second (totalScore 56, scoreRank 2) but sits marketRankInRace 4. RaceEasy's Win Pick is Moab (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 1), which also holds a CD badge and a proven Class 4 Handicap win — the model places it third by score despite market favouritism. The top three by RaceEasy score all carry CD badges and all have won at this class and trip; what separates them in the model is the course specialist and going sub-scores.

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**Perth 15:05 — Class 4 Hurdle, Good To Soft**

RaceEasy's Longshot flag lands on Marty McFly (totalScore 48, scoreRank 2), which the market has at marketRankInRace 8 — a six-place gap. The model scores it level with the Win Pick Tap Tap Shamie (also totalScore 48) and gives both a distance strike rate of 10/10. Marty McFly adds a CD badge on top of that, which Tap Tap Shamie does not hold. The model ranks it 2nd on score despite a market rank of 8, making this the largest score-vs-market gap in any pick flagged across the Perth card. RaceEasy's Each-Way pick is Magnolia (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 2), also carrying a distance strike rate of 10/10. All three of RaceEasy's flagged runners in this 10-runner field share that maximum distance sub-score; the model's separation comes from the CD badge and course specialist flags rather than any divergence in trip credentials.

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**Brighton 13:32 — Class 6, Good**

Brighton's opening race is one of the cleaner model-market alignments of the day at the top — Roman Spring (totalScore 56) is scoreRank 1 and marketRankInRace 1, carries RaceEasy's CD badge, and draws a course specialist bonus of 6/10, making it the Win Pick. However, the Longshot flag goes to Mart (totalScore 47, scoreRank 6, marketRankInRace 9), also a CD badge holder with the same 6/10 course specialist bonus — the model ranks it 6th by score against a market rank of 9, a three-place gap flagged explicitly by RaceEasy. RaceEasy's Each-Way pick Valadero (scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 3) is also a course specialist with a proven Class 6 win at this level, narrowing the gap between pick and market. This race has four course specialists in the top six by score, with the CD badge the key differentiator between Mart and the similarly-scored Unico (scoreRank 5, marketRankInRace 7, also a three-place gap) — Mart holds it, Unico does not.

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**Perth 14:30 — Class 3 Chase, Good To Soft**

The model's top-scored runner here is Major Fortune (totalScore 49, scoreRank 1), backed by a recent form factor of 10/10, yet the market places it fourth (marketRankInRace 4) — that is RaceEasy's Each-Way pick. The Win Pick is I Wish You (totalScore 47, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 2), which aligns more closely with the market and carries a distance strike rate of 10/10 with a proven-at-trip flag. At the other end of the score table, Thunder Rock (scoreRank 4) is the market's favourite at marketRankInRace 1, but the model places it fourth — a three-place gap in the opposite direction, supported by a class factor of 10/10 but without the distance strike rate credentials that separate the top two. In a six-runner Class 3 chase, RaceEasy's model is pointing to Major Fortune as the most underweighted runner by score, with its 10/10 recent form factor doing the analytical heavy lifting.

Generated commentary, not betting advice — see RaceEasy's own Win Pick / Each-Way / Longshot picks and their reasoning on the race itself for the actual analysis this article describes.

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