**Score Gaps Dominate a Busy Card: RaceEasy's Model Finds Value Where the Markets Don't**

It's a sprawling day across Thurles, Bath, Ayr, Market Rasen, Tramore, and Southwell, and RaceEasy's scoring model is throwing up market-vs-score gaps in nearly every race. Here are the key contests the data is pointing at.

**Bath 13:30 — Class 6, 13 runners (Good)**

RaceEasy's Win Pick is Fram Castle (totalScore 59, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 1), trained by Michael Wigham and ridden by Taryn Langley, and the model and market are in rare agreement at the head of affairs. The score is built on proven class-level form — Fram Castle has won at Class 6/Maiden/Novice level — and a going suitability rating of 10/10. The Each-Way pick is Calshot Spit (totalScore 59, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 4), who carries the CD badge, meaning a course-and-distance win is on record, and also scores 10/10 for going suitability — the model ranks it 2nd on score despite a market rank of 4. Further down, Pacific Storm (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 5) earns a headgear factor of 10/10 on first-time headgear alongside a significant class drop, and the model ranks it 3rd vs a market rank of 5. The headline act from a data-divergence perspective is Merrijig, ranked 6th by the model but sitting 2nd in the market — a gap that the score distribution simply doesn't support.

**Ayr 13:45 — Class 5, 12 runners (Heavy)**

This is the card's sharpest score-market inversion. Naturalia (totalScore 57, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 4) carries the CD badge and earns a course specialist bonus of 4/10 — the model ranks it 1st on score against a market rank of 4, making it RaceEasy's Each-Way and Longshot pick for the race. West Tyrone (scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 8) and Royal Blaze (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 11) both carry CD badges with course specialist bonuses of 4/10 — two more cases where model rank sits well clear of market rank. RaceEasy's Win Pick is Motawaared (totalScore 40, scoreRank 5, marketRankInRace 1), ridden by Lauren Young — the model places it 5th on score while the market installs it as favourite, a gap of four places that the scoring data registers clearly.

**Bath 15:15 — Listed, 13 runners (Good)**

The day's highest-class race is tight at the top of the model. Brilliant Star (totalScore 52, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 1), trained by John & Thady Gosden and ridden by Robert Havlin, is RaceEasy's Win Pick and leads the model score with a headgear factor of 9/10 on first-time headgear — the market and the model agree here. Pierian (totalScore 52, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 2) is the Each-Way pick for William Haggas and Tom Marquand, backed by a course specialist bonus of 4/10. The notable gap in this field is Lady Vivian (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 6) — James Doyle's mount scores 3rd on the model with a class factor of 10/10 against a market rank of 6, a divergence of three places that is the most striking data signal the model surfaces in this race.

**Thurles 14:26 — Handicap, 17 runners (Good To Yielding)**

RaceEasy's Win Pick Starflow (totalScore 62, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 3) is trained by Henry de Bromhead and ridden by Conor Cusack — the model ranks it top of the field with a distance strike rate of 10/10, while the market places it 3rd. The Each-Way pick Cause I Like You (totalScore 51, scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 6) also scores a distance strike rate of 10/10 for G.F. Carroll and Michael Mulvany, with the model ranking it 2nd against a market rank of 6. Free Solo (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 7) repeats the distance strike rate of 10/10 and sits 3rd on score vs 7th in the market. In a 17-runner handicap with this many distance-proven runners clustering in the model's upper tier, the score-vs-market gaps run consistently in the same direction — the market is pricing several of the model's key runners longer than the data warrants.

**Ayr 16:05 — Class 5, 10 runners (Heavy)**

A strong alignment between score and market at the top: Empirestateofmind (totalScore 58, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 1) is RaceEasy's Win Pick, trained by John & Sean Quinn and ridden by Jason Hart, with a proven record at Class 5 level and a course specialist bonus of 4/10. One Night Thunder (scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 2) sits just behind, carrying the CD badge and a course specialist bonus of 4/10. The model's Longshot is The Gay Blade (totalScore 46, scoreRank 6, marketRankInRace 9) — it carries the CD badge, has won at this class level, and scores a course specialist bonus of 4/10; the model ranks it 6th on score vs a market rank of 9, a gap of three places that the CD badge and class evidence underpins. Cisco Disco (scoreRank 3, marketRankInRace 7) rounds out the notable gaps — class factor 10/10 and a course win at this level, yet ranked 7th by the market against 3rd by the model.