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RACE DAY

**Score vs Market: RaceEasy's Data Flags the Key Angles Across Uttoxeter, Kelso, Killarney and the Curragh**

Covers 2026-10-04 · 29 race(s) · written by Claude (claude-sonnet-4-6) from RaceEasy's own data · published 04/10/2026, 10:52:53

Country Mile

Win Pick

The Gray Ghost

Each-Way

Belle Vision

Each-Way

Pirate Anne Bonny

Win Pick

In The Trenches

Win Pick

Letmeseethecolts

Each-Way

Unquite Dreams

Win Pick

Astelia

Each-Way

Fine Thing

Win Pick

Jentobello

Each-Way

The Windhover

Each-Way

Hmas Perth

Win Pick

Dontcontradictme

Each-Way

Governors Rock

Win Pick

Granlahan

Each-Way

Colin's Friend

Win Pick

Bold Light

Win Pick

Heart Above

Each-Way

Loughrea

Win Pick

Big Gossey

Each-Way

Lewis Carroll

Longshot

Current Edition

Win Pick

Tazman Dan

Each-Way

Lips Freedom

Win Pick

Firebrand

Each-Way

Luna Grace

Each-Way

Tuppence

Win Pick

Retracement

Each-Way

Miss Goldfire

Each-Way

Divilabother

Win Pick

Pike Road

Longshot

James The Brave

Win Pick

Good World

Each-Way

Breaking Cover

Win Pick

Tommy's Oscar

Each-Way

Primoz

Longshot

Spinning Around

Each-Way

Staysound Susie

Longshot

Uncle Remus

Win Pick

Prettylady

Each-Way

Northern Rose

Longshot

Presenting Lad

Each-Way

Golden Point

Each-Way

Sir Carnegie

Win Pick

Apothic Red

Win Pick

Smoke Them Out

Each-Way

Jon Riggens

Longshot

Holy Legend

Win Pick

Ask A Sainte

Each-Way

Time Is A Thief

Win Pick

Mister Loolah

Each-Way

Luminaries

Win Pick

Helsgetaway

Each-Way

Sinbad My Dad

Win Pick

Alfalfa

Each-Way

Jo Arengeot Bey Aa

Win Pick

Better Off Alone

Each-Way

Nolans Rocco

Each-Way

Cullenwaine

Win Pick

Loingseoir

Each-Way

Highbury See See

Win Pick

A packed card across four venues today, and RaceEasy's scoring model is throwing up some sharp market-vs-score divergences worth examining. Here are the races where the data has most to say.

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**Uttoxeter 13:26 — Class 4 Hurdle**

This is the standout flag of the morning. RaceEasy's Win Pick is In The Trenches, trained by Jennie Candlish and ridden by Luke Scott (3), who scores 60 — the model ranks him 1st on score despite a market rank of 3. That scoreRank 1 vs marketRankInRace 3 gap is significant: the going suitability sub-score comes in at a perfect 10/10, and the model also flags him as proven at Class 4 Handicap level, having won at this level. Each-Way pick Letmeseethecolts (Nathan Moscrop, Brian Ellison) also carries a going suitability rating of 10/10 and sits scoreRank 2 vs marketRankInRace 4. Market leader Gentle Ocean — Sam Twiston-Davies for the Twiston-Davies yard — is scoreRank 5 vs marketRankInRace 1, the widest gap in the race, and the model flags no course form, a lengthy absence, and a high-risk layoff, alongside a trainer course form of just 4/10. The data portrait here is one where the market and the model are pulling in meaningfully different directions at the top of the field.

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**Kelso 15:30 — Class 2 Chase**

The highest-class chase on today's card produces a full set of RaceEasy picks: Breaking Cover (Win), Tommy's Oscar (Each-Way), Primoz (Longshot). Breaking Cover, trained by Anthony Honeyball and ridden by Chad Bament (5), leads on score at 63 with a distance strike rate of 10/10 and a proven Class 2 Handicap record. The model ranks him 1st vs a market rank of 2 — a modest gap, but the interest comes further down. Tommy's Oscar sits scoreRank 2 vs marketRankInRace 5 and carries both the CD badge and a distance strike rate of 10/10, despite the high-risk layoff flag. Primoz (Derek Fox, Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore) is scoreRank 3 vs marketRankInRace 6 and also carries the CD badge with distance strike rate 10/10. Market favourite Ice Jet is scoreRank 6 vs marketRankInRace 1 — the model places him last among the named runners, with going suitability as his sole positive sub-score flag.

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**Curragh 14:30 — Listed Flat Race**

The day's first Listed contest on the Flat sees Loughrea (Andrew Slattery, trainer A. Slattery) align with the market at scoreRank 1 and marketRankInRace 1, scoring 59 with a recent form factor of 10/10 and course specialist status. RaceEasy's Each-Way pick Big Gossey (Robert Whearty, Charles O'Brien) matches that total score of 59 at scoreRank 2, holds the CD badge, a class factor of 10/10, and also carries course specialist status. The Longshot flag goes to Lewis Carroll (W. M. Lordan, Aidan O'Brien), scoreRank 3 vs marketRankInRace 7 — the model has him third on score while the market places him seventh, and he carries the CD badge. His class factor is 0/10, which the model surfaces as a constraint, but the course specialist designation and CD badge mean the underlying profile isn't without substance.

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**Uttoxeter 15:15 — Class 3 Hurdle**

The model's most interesting structural story in the afternoon jumps action. Miss Goldfire (Ciaran O'Shea (7), Harry Fry) leads the field on score at 65 — scoreRank 1 vs marketRankInRace 4, a four-place divergence. The CD badge is present, and her distance strike rate registers 10/10 alongside a proven trip record. RaceEasy's Win Pick is Divilabother (Harry Reed, Tristan Davidson) at scoreRank 2, who scores 59 with a distance strike rate of 10/10, course specialist status, and the flag that he drops into Class 3 having won at Class 2 Handicap level. Ernest Gray (Tom Cannon, Alan King) sits scoreRank 3 vs marketRankInRace 5, also scoring 59 with a Class 3 win on record. The Longshot is Pike Road (Freddie Keighley (5), Martin Keighley) at scoreRank 5 vs marketRankInRace 6, carrying the CD badge, a distance strike rate of 10/10, and the credible NH outsider designation — offset by the unproven class-up flag.

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**Curragh 16:15 — 24-Runner Flat Handicap**

In the biggest field of the day, RaceEasy's model lands squarely behind Apothic Red (Sadhbh Tormey (7), T G McCourt) as Win Pick — scoreRank 1 vs marketRankInRace 2, a CD badge, and a course specialist bonus of 4/10. Each-Way pick Smoke Them Out, trained by the same handler and ridden by Terry Casey (7), carries the same CD badge and course specialist bonus, sitting scoreRank 2 vs marketRankInRace 6. Longshot Jon Riggens (James Ryan, Edward Lynam) is scoreRank 6 vs marketRankInRace 9, carrying the CD badge and a course specialist bonus of 4/10 in a race where field depth makes the market particularly compressed. With 24 runners on soft ground, the model's course specialist and CD badge clustering around two of the three RaceEasy picks is the cleanest data thread to follow.

Generated commentary, not betting advice — see RaceEasy's own Win Pick / Each-Way / Longshot picks and their reasoning on the race itself for the actual analysis this article describes.

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