RaceEasy
← Articles
RACE DAY

**Score says one thing, market says another — RaceEasy's data flags the day's biggest gaps**

Covers 2026-10-07 · 38 race(s) · written by Claude (claude-sonnet-4-6) from RaceEasy's own data · published 07/10/2026, 10:53:31

King Roly

Win Pick

Badbury Rings

Each-Way

Californian Angel

Win Pick

Castlerock Girl

Each-Way

In The Age

Win Pick

Bel Ombre

Each-Way

Better Yet

Win Pick

John Galt

Win Pick

Popalot

Each-Way

Nightsinwhitesatin

Win Pick

Hello Friend

Each-Way

Crystalate

Win Pick

Lower De Couely

Each-Way

Port Arthur

Each-Way

My Cubby Bear

Win Pick

Flashy Boy

Win Pick

Henry Box Brown

Each-Way

Gainful

Win Pick

Caldo

Each-Way

The Drambling Man

Each-Way

Prince Of Peppard

Win Pick

Jet of Dreams

Win Pick

Kientzheim

Each-Way

Crown Ranger

Win Pick

Northern Viola

Each-Way

Spanish Darling

Each-Way

Lexington Wood

Win Pick

Verified

Win Pick

Rosato

Each-Way

Cosmic Soul

Win Pick

William Yeats

Each-Way

Dark Whisper

Each-Way

Quisana

Win Pick

Taranis Dubh

Win Pick

Eustace Grenier

Each-Way

Magna Cum Laude

Each-Way

Jesus Green

Win Pick

Littletown Lad

Win Pick

Clean Getaway

Each-Way

Norman Invasion

Each-Way

Get Outta Here

Win Pick

Calibos

Each-Way

Jollie Dame

Win Pick

Sanctijude

Each-Way

Divine Legend

Win Pick

Youlooklikeyourmum

Win Pick

Lady Scarphia

Each-Way

Kokoluna

Each-Way

Del Corso

Win Pick

Double Red

Longshot

Fighting Falcon

Win Pick

October Hill

Each-Way

Nephin Mountain

Each-Way

Reponse Finale

Win Pick

Silver Trumpet

Win Pick

Arantes Nascimento

Each-Way

Receipt

Longshot

Golden Prosperity

Each-Way

Asadjumeirah

Win Pick

Patrick Street

Win Pick

Charlie Brow'n

Each-Way

Byzantine

Win Pick

Oldbullyoungbull

Each-Way

Aquila d'Oro

Each-Way

Ghaiyyath Dream

Win Pick

Marquetry

Each-Way

Queen of Scotland

Win Pick

Royal County Glory

Win Pick

Seeing Stars

Each-Way

Madman

Each-Way

Calling A Star

Longshot

Now The Eagle

Each-Way

Desert Belle

Win Pick

Vilaine Verlaine

Longshot

Snooker McCrew

Win Pick

Makes Me Wonder

Each-Way

Chico Dulce

Longshot

There are races spread across Worcester, Sedgefield, Nottingham, Navan, and Kempton today, and RaceEasy's model has turned up some stark divergences between what the scores say and where the market has priced horses. Here are the races where that data is doing the most work.

---

**Worcester 13:05 — Class 3 Chase**

This is the day's cleanest alignment at the top: King Roly holds a totalScore of 56, scoreRank 1, and marketRankInRace 1. The model backs that up with a CD badge — a course-and-distance winner — combined with a distance strike rate of 10/10, making him RaceEasy's Win Pick under James Bowen for trainer Mickey Bowen. The more interesting story is Badbury Rings, RaceEasy's Each-Way pick. The model ranks Badbury Rings 2nd on score despite a market rank of 5 — a three-place gap that is the kind of divergence RaceEasy is built to surface. The flags against include no course form, a lengthy absence, and a high-risk layoff, but a recent form factor of 10/10 keeps the score elevated. The market has clearly discounted the layoff more heavily than the model has.

---

**Sedgefield 14:50 — Class 4 Chase**

Four runners, and RaceEasy's model lands on Jet of Dreams (totalScore 60) as the standout Win Pick. The CD badge is present alongside a distance strike rate of 10/10, and the course specialist flag fires too — the model ranks Jet of Dreams 1st on score with marketRankInRace 2 under Richard Upton for Warren Greatrex. The sharpest data point here is at the other end: Lady Kara is the market's top pick (marketRankInRace 1) but the model ranks her 4th on score — the lowest score in the field at 38, with a class factor of 0/10. That is a scoreRank 4 vs marketRankInRace 1 gap, and with a class factor at zero the model is finding essentially nothing to support that market position.

---

**Sedgefield 15:50 — Class 5 Hurdle**

The highest totalScore anywhere on the card for a Win Pick: Littletown Lad sits at 68, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 1, carrying a CD badge, a distance strike rate of 10/10, proven at Class 5 level, and a course specialist flag. Score and market agree at the top. RaceEasy's Each-Way pick is Clean Getaway (totalScore 58), the model ranking it 2nd on score despite a market rank of 4. Clean Getaway also holds a CD badge and a headgear factor of 9/10 with first-time headgear flagged — that combination in a horse the market has sent out to a wider price is precisely the kind of each-way angle the scoring system is designed to identify.

---

**Kempton 17:00 — Class 5 Flat (AW)**

The top totalScore of the entire day's flat racing: Silver Trumpet at 71, carrying a CD badge, a going suitability of 10/10, and proven at Class 5 level. RaceEasy's Win Pick is scoreRank 1 vs marketRankInRace 2 under Oliver Carmichael for Eve Johnson Houghton — the market is close but not fully aligned. The Each-Way pick, Arantes Nascimento (totalScore 64, scoreRank 2), holds a CD badge and going suitability of 10/10 but sits at marketRankInRace 5 — a three-place score-vs-market gap. The Longshot, Receipt (scoreRank 6, marketRankInRace 8), carries a going suitability of 10/10 and is proven at Class 5 level despite the layoff flags, and the model places it in the conversation at a wide price.

---

**Kempton 20:30 — Class 6 Flat (AW)**

Snooker McCrew posts a totalScore of 65, scoreRank 1, marketRankInRace 1 — model and market in agreement — with a CD badge, going suitability 10/10, and proven at Class 6 level as RaceEasy's Win Pick. The Longshot angle is Chico Dulce: scoreRank 3 on score but marketRankInRace 8, a five-place gap, with a going suitability of 10/10. The Each-Way pick Makes Me Wonder (scoreRank 2, marketRankInRace 6) also carries a going suitability of 10/10. In a 13-runner field where the model's top two score picks are both outside the top five in the market, RaceEasy's data is doing distinct analytical work that generic previewing simply cannot replicate.

Generated commentary, not betting advice — see RaceEasy's own Win Pick / Each-Way / Longshot picks and their reasoning on the race itself for the actual analysis this article describes.

18+ · Analysis, not advice · Bet only what you can afford to lose · Safer gambling